The Eu Crisis and Europe's divided Memories
Leonardo Paggi, Geoff Eley, Wolfgang Streeck
Pubblichiamo d'accordo con la rivista "Ricerche Storiche" l'estratto di un'importante intervista a tre noti intellettuali, G. Eley, L. Paggi e W. Streeck. Ringrazio il prof. Spagnolo e Leonardo Paggi per l'onore. Speriamo a breve in una traduzione in italiano [s.c.]
Excerpts from an interview by C. Spagnolo (Univ. Bari) with Geoff ELEY, Univ. of Michigan (G.E.), Leonardo PAGGI, Univ. of Modena (L.P.), and Wolfgang STREECK, Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung, Köln (W.S.), to be published in “Le memorie divise dell’Europa dal 1945”, monographic issue of the Journal "Ricerche Storiche", n. 2/2017.
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1. Right from the beginning, European integration encountered resistance and has experienced periods of stasis and regression but today’s crisis is of a new, more extreme kind. Since the rejection of the constitutional treaty in France and the Netherlands in 2005 we have seen the growth of local “populist” movements opposed to immigration and the loss of control over the employment market, a resurgence of nationalism in many countries and the referendum vote in favour of Brexit on 23 June (2016).
Is this a crisis of rejection connected to the almost unnatural and extraordinarily rapid expansion of the size and remit of the EU after the 1991-92 Maastricht Treaty? Are we now paying the price for the EU’s over-ambition or for the "democratic deficit" on which it was built?
(W. S.) It is almost conventional wisdom today to answer both your questions in the affirmative: over-ambition and democratic deficit at the same time. Yes, integration has crossed the threshold beyond which it makes itself felt in everyday life, especially as member countries have become so much more heterogeneous. “Nationalism”, as you call it, has always been there, except in Germany and, perhaps, Italy – two countries whose citizens were for a long time willing to exchange their national identity for a European one. Elsewhere it was contained within national borders, which were still relevant. This has changed with the simultaneous widening and deepening of the Union. Also, as to nationalism, don’t forget that the Internal Market and monetary union and in particular the “rescue operations” for governments and banks, pitch countries against each other, making then compete for economic performance and fight over both austerity and “solidarity”.
(G. E.) Each of these explanations carries much weight, in my view. Of course, it’s important to remember that popular identification with “Europe” has always been hugely variable across regions, periods, and all of the many internal societal divisions, member-country by member-country – whether “Europe” is taken to mean the EU per se, the “European project” in some politically coherent sense, a set of usually diffuse but nonetheless significant ideals, one kind of negatively understood Eurocentrism or another, or the cumulative effect of an elaborate range of practical conveniences and recognitions (i.e. the process of “growing together” over time via collective encounters, circuits of communication, structures of educational exchange, professional and administrative inter-connectedness, integrated labor markets, increasingly prevalent patterns of pan-European travel, the EU’s ramified regulative apparatuses, and last but not least football). In the earliest phase (1957-1970s) the Common Market subsisted on a hard-headed economic and geopolitical pragmatism (a kind of bastard internationalism) that was ordered along the primary Franco-West German axis while leavened by disproportionately influential elements of intellectual Europeanism. It was really during the 1980s, with the “objective” consequences of cumulative integrative processes, the coalescence of the institutional and regulative machinery, and the emergence of a more coherent European project, that “Europe” acquired over time a far stronger and genuinely popular material actuality. In that sense, the Single Europe Act and Maastricht solidified a European presence whose penetration downwards into the respective European societies became impressively effective. In the meantime, major processes of disruptive change have continuously undermined those potentials. Two of these are the ones signalled in your question. First, the relentless drive for enlargement has rendered the cohesion and political efficacy of the EU as such unmanageable, whether as an institutional complex of political negotiation or as an object of popular identification. Second, the hopelessly undemocratic character of the EU’s institutional arrangements (everything summarized in the banality of the “democratic deficit”), which were apparent from the outset, has now been continuously exacerbated to the point of chronic dysfunctionality. I’d then add the following. Third, despite the promising gestures during the 1980s toward an operative politics of collective betterment and the promotion of Europeanwide public goods (“social Europe”), anything resembling a social democratic or even social-liberal commitment to a redistributive politics has long been sacrificed in the interests of the reigning neoliberal economic agenda. Fourth, the rigid post-2008 adherence to a politics of austerity has disastrously negated whatever was left of the rhetoric of the common European project per se. Finally, the EU’s political incapacity in face of the permanence of the refugee crisis has not only placed the member-states and societies under increasingly intolerable particularized strain, but has continuously exposed the EU’s political ineffectuality too.
(L. P.) The reasons of the ongoing crisis go much deeper and have to be traced in the economic governance plan adopted when the single currency was created. I always find particularly useful to re-read the way in which Guido Carli, the day after the signing of the Maastricht Treaty (which he had taken part in as Minister of the Treasury of the Italian government in February 1992) commented on the meaning and the outcome of that choice in his personal notes: “the European Union implies the notion of the ‘Minimal State’, the abandonment of mixed economy and of economic planning, the redefinition of the ways the expenses are arranged, a redistribution of responsibilities that reduces the power of parliamentary assemblies and increases that of governments, fiscal autonomy for local authorities, the rejection of the principle of widespread gratuitousness of services (and the ensuing reform of healthcare and of social security), the abolition of the wage indexation scale, the dramatic reduction of pockets of privilege, the mobility of the factors of production, the reduction of the State’s presence in the credit system and in industry, the abandonment of inflationary behaviour not only by workers, but also by the producers of services, the abolition of the norms that fixed administered prices and tariffs. In a word: a new pact between States and citizens, to the latter’s advantage.”
These words provide a brutal, but extremely clear picture that summarizes the meaning and direction of a political process that would soon involve the whole of Europe: the dramatic reduction of State powers in terms of both economic and industrial policies, the dismantling of the public sphere and of its power to reorient the market, the breaking of the social security and of the pension system, the collapse of trade unions’ bargaining power, the transfer of the effective decision power from parliaments to the executive branch. Twenty-five years after, we are in such a position as to be able to evaluate the outcome of a set of choices that have systematically, and almost scientifically, eroded the economic and social foundations on which democracy had been rebuilt in Europe after 1945.
6. The “end of history”, of which Fukuyama wrote in 1992, today seems applicable to Europe rather than to the United States, in the sense that the phrase refers not only to a crisis affecting the idea of progress but also to the belief that the EU is a stable solution to political conflict. This can be seen, for example, in the metamorphosis of politics into administration, and the illusion of the elimination of war and ending of ideological conflict. Why does politics today seem to have such little need of history and such great need of memories?
Are we in a period of transformation of the political realm that tends to separate politics and economics from history, or is the emerging discourse on memory merely a symptom of demographic aging, an intellectual fever that extends even to the social sciences?
(G. E.) I agree very much with the main thrust of the thinking in this question. But so far from confirming any separation of politics and economics from history, don’t the remarkably effective political appeals of the populist Right tend rather to show the opposite? The idea that “we are in a period of transformation of the political realm” is persuasive but needs a lot of unpacking.
(L. P.) With an impressive analogy with what happened in the beginning of the XX century, when the theory of imperialism was elaborated thanks to the contribution of political analysts of various orientations (Hobson, Hilferding, Lenin, etc.), the protagonists of globalization are once again the great Leviathans, the nation-states rich not only in economic resources, but also in history and identity. This is the meaning of the competition between the USA and China, not to mention the resurgence of the geopolitical influence of post-Soviet Russia, which many would like to exorcise by attributing its fault to Putin’s wickedness; and isn’t the remarkable growth of the Indian economy also due to the massive State structure inherited from British colonialism? Even the most successful periods of South American economies always coincide with a reinforcement of the State thanks to the emergence of a strong populist leadership. In the Middle East crisis, finally, the growing influence of strong States of ancient tradition, such as Iran and Turkey, contrasts with a lasting political fragmentation of the Arab people, which has not managed to go beyond the Caliphate.
How singular the contrast between such a global state of affairs and an EU defined by a senseless and self-damaging system of “currency without state” (it seems that such phrase was coined by our Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa!), which is anyway kept together by Germany’s supremacy and arrogance. In order to quit Maastricht’s hierarchic cosmopolitism and move back to an effective federal perspective it will be necessary to get rid of a whole culture, a subaltern culture that has handed over the destiny of a continent to financial capital taking the risk to obliterate an entire civilization. Here is the main reason of the great identity crisis that is currently haunting our Europe.
(W. S.) I find this question so complex that I can only provide a number of more or less unrelated facets of what might eventually be a sufficiently complex answer. Is there in the Europe of today a need for memory as distinguished from history? There clearly is a need for fabricated selective stories, or memories, dressing up a post-democratic, consumerist, neoliberal, Hayekian political economy as a legitimate society. Will they be believed by enough people to make them sufficiently canonical? Hundreds of thousands of PR experts are working on this and try to sell LBGTIQ rights, travel without borders and the synthetic communities of Facebook and Twitter as historical progress. Politics turning into administration was in fact a historical (Marxian) dream of progress – one that has materialized in present-day Europe as the nightmare of a technocracy shielded from politics, so as to protect electorates from the temptations of “populism”. Will people recognize the farce, and the tragedy that comes with taking it at face value? That war has allegedly disappeared is presented as historical progress as well, but mostly in terms of young people no longer having to serve in their countries’ military, further cutting back on the obligations that used to come with the rights of citizenship (rights which in the process turn into consumption goods, in the general context of progress being reduced to, and conceived exclusively in terms of, an increase in individual liberties). Warfare has long been delegated to the United States and to highly professionalized Special Forces, maintained by all West European countries but operating in complete secrecy, so almost nobody notices – and in the absence of the traditional levée en masse, nobody really cares. The same applies to modern killing technology, such as drones. Presently, of course, history as warfare is coming back in new forms as failed states proliferate on the capitalist periphery, with streams of refugees exporting their misery into the European prosperity zone, and with religious fundamentalism carrying violence into its cities.
The widespread absence of a historical consciousness and the often successful efforts to fill the gap with fictional “memories” – for example, how peace in Europe is allegedly owed to the European Union – may be due to a perhaps unprecedented phenomenon, which is revolutionary change proceeding slowly but steadily, without major disruptions, over at least two political generations, with no end in sight. That the historical dimension of what we call the neoliberal revolution is so rarely noticed, and can be noticed only with special effort, may be explained by the fact that it evolved over such a long time, without dramatic ruptures or breakdowns. So each generation sees only a small section of the momentous process of crisis and change that has been underway since the 1970s, and therefore may perceive only little or no difference between the beginning and the end of its observed historical time. As the true historical dynamic of our era is recognized only from a distance, it is not recognized at all by those who cannot or will not distance themselves from their everyday lives. This is why it is so urgent that social science today sheds its system-theoretical habits and returns to an approach that affords the historical nature of the social world proper recognition.
7. With the reunification of Germany and the opening up of Eastern Europe, the dominant narrative focused on overcoming the Cold War and on the idea that Vergangenheitsbewältigung (struggle to overcome the negatives of the past) was now complete; every hidden chapter in the history of the individual nations, beginning with Germany, needed to be brought to light to illuminate the Holocaust as the basis for a shared culture of human rights. As Walser pointed out in 1998, it is almost as if Monumentalisierung der Schande (Monumentalising the shame) is being invoked as a guarantor of the morality of modern-day politics.
It seems as though that project, which was perhaps never properly managed, is running aground: paradoxically, the attempt to create an inclusive memory, through the spread of memorial days for the victims of “totalitarianism” has resulted not so much in a “European memory” as in memories for groups or nations claiming victim status and vigorously contesting previous “official truths”. Conversely, post-national historiographies take refuge in a form of – on occasions smug – “moderate patriotism” which aims to normalize the past of individual countries. Is a “European memory” possible and what characteristics should it have in order to safeguard democracy from the re-emergence of identities based on exclusion and conflict?
(G. E.) Again, I agree strongly with the thrust of this question. “Trauma talk” has achieved such pervasive dominance that the most reliable ground for the making of effective political claims has now become the traumatic wound of a past injustice, and indeed the grander-scale the better – slavery, colonial dispossession, expulsions, genocide, any form of discrimination, collective suffering, or violations of rights. This recourse to a memorial language of traumatized identity not only replaces the appeal to more classical universalist ideals, but also spectacularizes suffering and injustice, so that any dramatic experience of exceptional violence becomes implicitly privileged as the main ground from which legitimate and effective political claims now need to be filed. In the process, other fundamental grounds of democratic action – positive ideals of human self-realization and social emancipation, for example, or the mundane suffering of everyday poverty and exploitation, can become much harder to build. In that sense, a “memorial” politics does tend to constrain as much as it helps. Memory work – the working-through of a difficult and compromised past – has always been vital for the rebuilding of democratic political culture in Europe since 1945, and nowhere more impressively than in Germany (qua the process of Vergangenheitsbewältigung since the 1960s). And, as contemporary German events continue to show, this necessarily remains a work-in-progress, whose grounds will continue to settle and shift, sometimes in dangerous and unexpected ways. But that political work of memory was always moved by forward-looking and inevitably contested visions of the good society too, whether in 1968, the mid-1980s, or the aftermath of unification. Without some comparable vision of a desirable, generously conceived, and realistically attainable democratic future – distressingly absent from the centerground of current political discourse inside the EU – a “European memory” worth the name will not be possible.
(W. S.) West Germany was reorganized as a democratic-capitalist country in the 1950s and 1960s when the Holocaust was not nearly as present in public memory as it is today. Here, again, NATO and the Americanization of social life were much more important than history and memory. Today the Shoah and the Nazi crimes in general are very much part of educated German consciousness, or of German culture generally: as a German, you simply cannot subscribe to a “Right or wrong, my country” sort of patriotism. In fact you are aware, or always likely to be reminded, that an entire people, even one that prides itself of having been at the forefront of human civilization, can be led, or can lead itself, to relapse into the worst form of barbarism. But then, knowledge of history is not easily taught to the Generation Twitter, not even in Germany, and for those growing up now the first half of the twentieth century is almost as distant in time as the Middle Ages. Moreover, collective memory, including the German one, is not very instructive politically. For example, the fact of the German genocide committed on the Jewish people does not tell us how many immigrants today’s Germany must and can take in per year, and from which countries – not to mention what kind of supranational European institutions Germany should help build and sustain. It does not even entail precise instructions with regard to German policy toward Israel: must Germany support whatever the Israeli government does to secure the existence of Israel as a state, or must it be rigorously committed to human rights and international law, which would mean taking sides with the Palestinians in Gaza in their struggle against the present Israeli government. Particularism or universalism?
As to “patriotism”, its contents differ between countries and individuals, and they change over time. Watch how the Italian football team sings its national anthem before games, and compare this to the way the Germans sing if at all. On the one hand, as sociologists know, people do identify as members of groups and develop loyalty to the groups with which they identify. Germans are not categorically different in this respect, although their attachment to their country still tends to be moderated by the memory of Nazism and genocide, as pointed out. Will this last? It certainly will be different among the large numbers of immigrants now settling in Germany: Germans with Turkish, Palestinian or Eritrean roots will hardly see themselves sharing in whatever kind of historical responsibility for the Holocaust. It is also true that young Germans today, when traveling abroad, are less likely than the generation that preceded them to keep silent when being personally reprimanded for the German Nazi past. In short, I think a legitimate European order of peace and cooperation cannot be built on historical memories, or on German acceptance of historical responsibility for the worst crime against humanity in the twentieth century if not in history. And I also think that a “European memory”, encompassing the historical experience from Norway to Sicily and from Ireland to Rumania, is no more than a chimera.
(L. P.) Until the 1970s European historical awareness was characterized as a sum of national memories that to a certain extent all ignored, in their discreteness, the geopolitical demotion that had struck the continent as a whole at the end of World War II. These memories were divided, often even opposed to each other, but all equally anti-German. And they were also memories marked by phenomena of omission and self-exaltation. English memory celebrated the hard defeat inflicted on Nazi Germany, but forgot the end of the Empire. French memory put between brackets Vichy in order to exalt the uninterrupted continuity of the republican tradition. Italian memory stretched beyond measure the consensus enjoyed by the Resistance in order to support a program of democratic renewal and modernization of the country that clashed with the persistence of elements of feudalism. However, it cannot be neglected that precisely because of their being partial (but has memory ever been an exact copy of what Leopardi called the “arid truth”?), these memories were marked by an unequivocal democratic and anti-fascist will, that same will expressed by the post-war constitutions (with the exception of Germany), which not only preached freedom and equality, but also defined conditions and instruments for their fulfilment.
Anti-fascist culture, welfare state and Keynesian policies were the three distinguishing features of the ideological and political balance of European nation-states before the huge storm of neoliberal culture imposed by force the new horizon of globalization, with its economic policies harnessed to budgetary equilibrium and a growing limitation of national sovereignties imposed by free-to-move financial capitals. It was in such new context, made official by the Maastricht Treaty, that emerged the EU project for a European memory which, dropping the traditional and somehow mandatory reference to World War II, assumed the Holocaust as a common theme that overlapped the multiplicity and the variety of national context. It was a bureaucratic operation that had the same abstract and categorical character of all the legislation of European governance. It took the form of a memory/device, detached from any actual historical experience and imposed through the proliferation of laws (in 2009 it was even made mandatory to remember the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact), with the attendant sanctions for the transgressors.
Hence the memory of the Holocaust, isolated from the context of World War II in which it developed, becomes the symbol of an absolute Evil, obliterates the memory of Stalingrad and the role played by the Soviet Union in determining the defeat of Nazism, and finally comes to the full affirmation of a theory of two totalitarianisms that, especially in Eastern Europe, ends up fuelling the revival of openly fascist memories.
8. The handling of debt in Greece and the other PIGS countries, the tension in Ukraine, the emergence of the refugee problem, and the relationship with Turkey all indicate a lack of shared political preparedness in the EU, which has led to member States, notably Germany, stepping up a weight. Germany has occasionally attempted to mediate and is ready to bear some of the costs but does not appear able to provide a political vision that can prevent a relapse into the nationalist memories evoked by the conflicts across European states. Why do the ruling classes of the big countries show such a lack of interest in seeking a common EU growth and social policy based upon common standards? Is the culture of the most important country, namely Germany, perhaps significantly influenced by a kind of self-referentiality after the successes of reunification and expansion on the world market? And do the other Western European countries look backwards out of nostalgia for their achievements during the Cold War? Is the lack of vision perhaps connected to the fact that Europe’s ruling classes now have an impoverished knowledge of history and that they have lost their cultural capability to conceive of conflict as a permanent dimension of politics?
(L. P.) The 2008 crisis has shed full light on the de facto leading position achieved by Germany in Maastricht Europe. Behind the veil of the impersonal government of rules, an open politicization of all inter-state relations has been produced. The crises that shook Greece in 2010 and once again in 2015 witnessed in a spectacular way the existence of a rigidly oligarchic structure which exercises a strict control not only over economic policies, but also over political stability. In Italy the government led by Mario Monti in November 2011 saw a strong limitation of the power of control over the state budget by the prime minister, a measure that continued with the following governments.
Starting from this fact, it has gained currency a representation of Germany as a “reluctant hegemon” (…). German economy is today structurally unable to play that driving role that has often been invoked. The history of capitalistic development has already fully shown the features of a model of supranational hegemony in the form of the driving role played by the US domestic market for the whole Western system until the 1970s. The German model, based instead on the dramatic increase of exports and the ensuing containment of internal demand, not only does not provide any possibility of expansion to the other European countries, but it even requires from them to pursue the same goal of accruing their competitiveness by lowering workers’ salaries and dismantling their social security and pension systems. The password of this economic model is: growth without equality. In his book Buying Time: The Delayed Crisis of Democratic Capitalism Wolfgang Streeck has usefully highlighted the sense of the “domestic reforms” imposed by Germany and the massive losses in purchasing power caused by them, which today are jeopardizing any attempt at reviving European economies.
Yet, I do not intend here to demonize the role of Germany, which is undoubtedly supported by the consensus of a large “coalition of the willing”. It is time though to realize that the German line on austerity can perpetuate itself only insofar as it gathers a large consensus in Europe, not only among the conservative ruling elites (which have gained absolute supremacy after the suicidal of social-democracy), but also among the business elite. Austerity policies certainly hamper growth, and therefore the occasion for profitable investments. And yet, in the prostration in which now trade union representation and labour politics are, it is now possible to appropriate more and more of the cake. Profits can increase without the political risk of a redistributive conflict that would inevitably break out in a situation of economic growth. Germany is nowadays the point of reference of a vast range of openly conservative European forces that support a neo-Malthusian economic and political model. Not by chance Macron's immediate request after his elections for a Euro budget to finance investments and stimulate growth has been already rejected. He has been accused, as usual, to try to turn the currency union into a trasfer union, against Germany's interest. Germany is once again contending for primacy in Europe on the basis of a model of hierarchy and coercion.
(G. E.) Each of the major problems you’ve mentioned has occasioned a recrudescence of the national particularisms the EU has been charged historically with transcending, or at least finding the means of constructively mediating and containing. Indeed, those respective crises, not least because of their convergence and interpenetration, have acquired forms of severity that aggregate to a running general crisis of the “European project” per se. It’s true that Germany has occasionally provided a forward-looking lead. But Merkel’s surprisingly bold if arbitrary initiative on the refugee question has been more than matched by Schäuble’s ruthless adherence to the austerity measures required by the reigning neoliberal orthodoxies. A “kind of self-referentiality” describes the German policy-making mindset very well. But exactly Schäuble’s political obduracy even suggests a kind of latter-day hankering after non-military but nonetheless classical early-20th century German conceptions of Mitteleuropa, a suspicion for which the political arrogance accompanying the Greek debt crisis provides distressingly ample confirmation. That crisis has exposed the diminishing moral-political efficacy of any remaining “Europeanist” ideals, because if those ideals retained any reliably instituted, practically efficacious, convincingly internationalist meaning then the Greek predicament would surely have been the occasion for a more constructive debate and a spur to genuinely European intervention. Precisely the extreme vulnerability of Greece inside the overall power relations of the EU and the wider global economy (in common with the other PIGS countries) should surely have been a compelling call to moral-political action and strategically helpful and constructive social-political remediation as opposed to fiscal-disciplinary correction. Yet not only have “the Greeks” been demeaned and penalized (inside a shamefully contemptuous and near-racialized public discourse), but their structural predicament of indebtedness and dependency was originally engineered by the EU’s fiscal machinery and dominant capitalist interests in the first place. The political crisis would be dire even without the increasingly rigidified and unbendingly punitive regulatory regime of the EU. But the effect of that actually existing EU policy regime is to maximize the harshness of the austerity measures so consistently demanded and applied by Germany policy-makers and their eastern and northern European allies. Inside this dominant political context, where is the ground for cooperative action based in explicitly internationalist (i.e. collective-European) principles? Routinized invocations of Europe’s pre-1945 past and the ending of the Cold War divisions are no basis for building that ground. There is indeed a lamentable political failure at the center of the EU’s policy-making institutional complex: it’s impossible to detect any operative vision of the future that’s capable of mobilizing genuinely popular enthusiasm or enunciating a popular political appeal that’s larger-than-pragmatic and other than economistically self-interested. Instead the ground of emotionally satisfying political campaigning has been ceded almost entirely to the populist Right and its consistently effective if specious appeals to the nation and its purported sovereignties, quite apart from their xenophobic, racialist, and Islamophobic aspects. The diminishing purchase of the arguments from economics alone inside a prevailing political-economic climate of austerity was made calamitously clear by the debacle of the UK referendum, after all. Yet, unfortunately, the officially constituted European leadership still shows depressingly little sign of being able to leave its well-tried complacency behind. Any renewal of the European project will require venturing out from the existing, doggedly reiterated, administrative, regulatory, and technocratic ground.
(W. S.) Germany is not the only country without a “political vision”. There are sleepwalkers everywhere in the Europe of today, and the question seems appropriate if by demanding such a vision we may not be asking too much of our political leaders. Why no common EU growth policy? Rather than explaining its absence with reference to German culture, German unification or German self-referentiality following the end of the Cold War, one might remind oneself that we live in a world of a decaying capitalism in fundamental crisis that has long grown out of control. Why assume that there is or can be a common, unified growth strategy for a group of highly heterogeneous countries, in social structures, political cultures, socio-economic institutions, levels of development etc. etc., if only Germany was willing to think one up? Why expect Germany of all countries to feel an obligation to behave as though capitalism had already been overcome, i.e., “altruistically”? I do not think that the cluelessness of our leaders needs to be explained by their loss of historical culture, or by intellectual deficits. Both may be independently present, the loss as well as the deficits. But more important, I believe, is the fact that the growth capacity of contemporary capitalism is running out, and has been running out for some time – and that the institutional structures European elites have forged for their common house, the European Union, is particularly deficient when it comes to developing common solutions. Strangely enough, even people on the left who are highly skeptical on capitalism in general, when speaking about Europe often seem to believe that the present malaise is essentially a cognitive problem, if not just a German cognitive problem.
My hunch is that the time of big, internally diverse states, and even more so of potential supranational superstates, is over – and that the future may be on the side of small countries, like Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland and, perhaps, Scotland and Catalonia, with a capacity to use the toolkit of national sovereignty to define for themselves a niche in global markets where their peoples can prosper, more or less. Unlike a united Europe, they may be able to combine strategic intelligence and democratic participation, and respond nimbly and flexibly to changes in their – international – environment. For this Germany would have to give up the Euro, and countries like France and Italy would have to decentralize and empower their regions, who in turn would have to empower their citizens, casting aside pre-modern, oligarchic, rent-seeking social structures that stand in the way of equitable economic prosperity – the revolution that we all were too lazy or too faint-hearted or too shortsighted to complete in the 1970s.